• Comments for April 16, 2021

    The S&P500 continued pushing higher yesterday, but we can see below that the Cumulative Tick attracted more money than the 20DMF.



    This is probably because the 10Y rates pulled back, which is more favorable to the small caps and to the defensive/income based stocks.







    The PM sector did also very well yesterday simply because gold rushed up on the 10Y rates pull back.





    You will note that gold follows a trend that is similar to that of the 10Y Treasuries.



    BTC looks somewhat weaker though.



    But anyway, the Futures display a straight line up accumulation move. Hence, no need to be bearish here: the trend is the bulldozer that is driven by the conductor who guides rates lower.





    Conclusions:

    Stay inside the bulldozer or at least out of the way.
    With the rates change of yesterday, the S&P500 is priced now just at the pricing level calculated by the yield model.