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  1. #1

    Distribution Day?

    Mike,

    I received this on my Twitter feed (see below). Did we get an actual distribution day and, if so, do you agree with the 95% stat below?

    When a Distribution Day comes 1-2 days after a Follow Through Day; the FTD fails 95% of the time.

    And this on the IBD website:

    Stocks stepped back Tuesday, as the nascent uptrend ran into a little trouble. The NYSE composite lost 0.6%, while the S&P 500 shed 0.5%. The Nasdaq fell 0.3%, ending a six-session winning streak. Volume rose from Monday's levels on both main exchanges, handing a distribution day to each main...

    Read More At IBD: http://news.investors.com#ixzz2DWOBdPve

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Location
    Tarzana, CA
    Posts
    962
    The statistics are correct however there is not very many cases supporting the conclusion that distribution quickly after a FTD leads to a rally failure.
    We had clear distribution on all indices yesterday. On Monday we had technical distribution on the NYA, Dow and S&P but that conclusion is as muddy as the FTD we got on Monday because of the light Friday half-day trading volume.

    Quote Originally Posted by adam ali View Post
    Mike,

    I received this on my Twitter feed (see below). Did we get an actual distribution day and, if so, do you agree with the 95% stat below?

    When a Distribution Day comes 1-2 days after a Follow Through Day; the FTD fails 95% of the time.

    And this on the IBD website:

    Stocks stepped back Tuesday, as the nascent uptrend ran into a little trouble. The NYSE composite lost 0.6%, while the S&P 500 shed 0.5%. The Nasdaq fell 0.3%, ending a six-session winning streak. Volume rose from Monday's levels on both main exchanges, handing a distribution day to each main...

    Read More At IBD: http://news.investors.com#ixzz2DWOBdPve
    Mike Scott
    Cloverdale, CA

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