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Bookies
I am looking into the usability of betting odds for events like BREXIT.
But I don't know anything about betting. (I never gambled in my life.)
For Brexit the odds showed the "Remain camp" as leading till midnight Thursday-Friday.
Only then the spread closed and finally flipped.
![Name: 2016-06-25_bookies.jpg
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My question is how do Bookies calculate the odds they offer ?
Is it - A) A function of X amount of people betting on "Camp Remain" vs X amount of people betting on "Camp Leave". The Bookie knows these numbers and offers the ratio as odds plus a spread. The Bookie does not need to have an opinion about the topic.
- B) The Bookie actually formulates an opinion and bases the odds offered on that opinion.
- C) a mix of A & B
Does anyone know ?
I suspect it is A) and we get the cumulative knowledge of all people that bet.
Yet I wonder what influence the bookie has over the odds.
Last edited by PeterR; 06-25-2016 at 05:50 PM.
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