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Thread: Something has changed - a while ago

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  1. #10

    160617 EoD

    We had some selling rth.
    Probably tested the steeper trend line from below.

    I don't know how much weight we should give to the daily developments.
    IMO key is to spot a change in the general behavior of buying during RTH but selling ON.

    This would be a hint that some key players change their behavior for a while.

    Pascal identified the NIRP-refugees as a likely dominant group.
    I would add pension funds within the US doing something similar to NIRP-refugees: hunting for yield in US equities - or stop doing so for a while.

    Aswath Damodaran gives us some equity yield numbers (Implied EquityRiskPremium):
    Implied ERP on June 1, 2016=5.03% (Trailing 12 month, with adjusted payout), 6.12% (Trailing 12 month cash yield); 6.16% (Average CF yield last 10 years); 5.54% (Net cash yield); 4.66% (Normalized Earnings & Payout)
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    Last edited by PeterR; 06-18-2016 at 01:48 PM.

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