+ Reply to Thread
Results 1 to 1 of 1

Thread: SINA - Short a breakdown or a bounce?

  1. #1

    SINA - Short a breakdown or a bounce?

    SINA is an interesting stock to study.
    We can see below that it is in a downtrend. The question for is is to either short a bounce to resistance or a breakdown below support?

    Name:  SINA.gif
Views: 122
Size:  26.6 KB

    The pyramid data is shown below. Very negative, but the EV pattern tells us that a bounce might be shaping out.

    Name:  SINA_P.gif
Views: 119
Size:  40.6 KB

    Let's first study the breakdown. We can see that the trade data look acceptable.

    Name:  SINA_T1.gif
Views: 124
Size:  18.9 KB

    However, a "holding days" sensitivity analysis tells us that the R/R will be negative early in the trade, which could put us under great stress. The Table below indicates that an breakdown on volume will attract buyers at least early in the trade, probably because the stock will be extended to the downside.

    Name:  SINA_S.gif
Views: 120
Size:  16.9 KB

    Shorting a bounce however look more interesting

    Name:  SINA_T.gif
Views: 125
Size:  20.0 KB

    We can see below that the number of holding days will not affect the R/R ratio

    Name:  SINA_S1.gif
Views: 90
Size:  14.6 KB

    The Table below tells us that the stronger the bounce, the better the trade for a 3% stop level.

    Name:  SINA_S2.gif
Views: 120
Size:  22.5 KB
    Last edited by Pascal; 12-04-2014 at 09:33 AM.

+ Reply to Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts