A short signal from the 20DMF would make it a confirmed trade.
They key is the Euro/US$ relation. I will post updates on the EV web site of the Futures, which have been good at detecting changes. We now have a Euro short squeeze. This might last until tomorrow. If this last longer, then it means that maybe something significant is changing toward the US$ stance (stealth devaluation policy) and/or the Euro policy (All problems temporarily solved in the Euro zone.)
Pascal