Quote Originally Posted by nickola.pazderic View Post
With volatility over 30, options prices are rich. (I'd like Ernst to chime in here).

It is only rich if the Historic Volatility for the next 20 days (or so) is below an annualized 30% volatility.

IV is forward looking while HV is looking back in time.IV is the expected, while HV is the realized.

To find out if IV was correct you will need to slide the HV graph back (20 to 30 days)

check this for a read on how the vix is calculated. http://www.cboe.com/micro/vix/vixwhite.pdf