Quote Originally Posted by davidallison@shaw.ca View Post
Billy,
Thank you for the reply. I called DirexionShares with the question of ex dividend dates for TZA/TNA. They don’t publish future dates and the only way to know for sure of an impending distribution, is to monitor their web site regularly, as it is announced shortly before the distribution. The only thing he would tell me is they do it quarterly, but it might not be exactly correspond to ¼ time or 90 days from the last distribution. It could happen at anytime!
As for ProShares RWM/UWM/TWM they gave a similar answer. One can sign up for email notification, where they said they give about two weeks advance notice of an impending dividend, or monitor the web site.

I’m a believer in the robot signals and very much appreciate your running commentary. The entry prices for robot trades have been excellent.

This is just referring to the most recent relatively weak short entry, (not entered) which quickly turned to a very profitable trade. It was a few pennies out, which probably didn’t matter statistically. I was curious to know if a ‘recent history’ pivot cluster might have changed the short entry price decision point. If the robot entry price is based on a daily pivots, the question is extraneous.

I will try to compare the robot pivot clusters you post, to a ‘recent history’ pivot cluster, and pass along anything of interest. To me, it’s a fundamental question which arises from watching the pivot clusters you post and the trading action of IWM.

Thanks again,
Dave
Thank you for all your detective work about the ETFs distribution dates. We will also have to monitor yearly rebalancing of the Russell 2000 expected near the end of this month on top of the new monthly, quarterly and semester pivots. Now you wonder why top traders avoid trading at this time of year!

Please go ahead with your research on " recent history" pivot clusters. Something instructive will certainly grow out of it. This is something I would have already done myself if we had 48 hours a day!
Just avoid giving too much emphasis on isolated signals, only the long term average rate of success counts if you want to avoid random and outliers biases.
Billy