Quote Originally Posted by Billy View Post
The "most probable" 3-day target is simply Today's optimal entry minus (the 3-day expected gain times the probabiliy of achieving this gain) 82.74- 82.74*(3.10% * 61.67%). Billy
Billy, would it be possible to confirm what above math ... I just want to make certain I understand the probability you are discussing.

$82.74 * (0.0310 * .6167) = $1.5818. So, I assume $1.58 would be the 'most probably' expected gain or 1.91%. Therefore setting a sell order at $81.15 would acheive that target ($82.74 - $1.58 = $81.16).

Just want to make certain I understand your post. Thank you as always!!