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Sector selections for 5/22/2011
If the IWM Robot is long, XLU (long).
If the IWM Robot is short, XLF (short).
Current theoretical location in business cycle per sector relationships: Market top to early bear.
Current theoretical location in business cycle per yield ratio model: Market top to early bear.
I think we should keep in mind that a bear has much faster volatility and sector gyrations than a bull. Eventually the volatility ends up driving people to the sidelines, leading to a slow decline that only ends with a panic washout.
I'll be watching the Robot VERY closely.
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5/24/2011
No change:
Long XLU, or
Short XLF
Elder Force model is short; Yield Ratio model is short; Mansky model is short; Sector Rotation model is bearish.
Everything is too neat and agreeable (time for them all to be wrong).
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5/25/2011
No changes:
If the Robot is long, long XLU.
If the Robot is short, short XLF.
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5/27/2011
No changes
If the Robot is long, long XLU.
If the Robot is short, short XLF.
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