02/18/2013 Mousetrap

Sector Model XLU 36.57%

Large Portfolio Date Return Days
BBRY 7/16/2012 95.31% 216
SEAC 9/25/2012 41.86% 145
CAJ 9/25/2012 3.17% 145
CFI 10/31/2012 45.39% 109
RE 11/26/2012 15.69% 83
CGX 12/12/2012 4.72% 67
OKE 12/28/2012 14.13% 51
NSC 1/28/2013 3.32% 20
BOKF 2/4/2013 2.98% 13
SWM 2/12/2013 4.03% 5

S&P Annualized 7.35%
Sector Model Annualized 19.87%
Large Portfolio Annualized 33.52%


From: [url]http://market-mousetrap.blogspot.com/2013/02/02182013-market-is-asleep.html[/url]

Rotation: selling OKE; buying GMCR

OKE is in the OILGAS industry. GMCR (Green Mountain Coffee) is in the Grocery industry.

In broad sector terms, OKE is in the energy sector, while GMCR is in the consumer staples sector.

This is a bearish move for the model.

Keep in mind that these are very incremental moves from one week to the next. If the moves begin to form a pattern it can reveal a potential trend change. Last week the move was bullish. This week the move is bearish.

More to the point, GMCR is showing a consumer staple move for the full Mousetrap model. But (what’s not visible above) consumer staples is weak on the abbreviated sector model.

Short answer: there is no significant pattern here. These are just tiny rotational moves.

The market is wildly overbought by most technical readings, but there is no visible change in direction looming on the model.

I’d report something interesting if there was something interesting to report. Perhaps what IS interesting is the complete lack of direction just a few days before the sequester hits. It’s as if nothing at all is going to happen, and perhaps that’s what everyone out there is expecting. We’ve been faked out so many times that we don’t believe anything anymore.

It’s TOO quiet out there.

Maybe the coffee will wake us up.

Tim