Mousetrap 12/25/2011 -- Merry Christmas

Secular Hold IAU & XLF 2.31%
Condition Bear Market Rally
S&P Target 940
Hedge XLU -4.72%

Position Date Return Days Call
SE 6/27/2011 16.67% 180 Hold
CLH 7/6/2011 19.67% 171 Hold
GCI 7/14/2011 -0.44% 163 Hold
CSGS 10/3/2011 18.22% 82 Hold
NLY 10/25/2011 3.29% 60 Hold
DD 10/27/2011 -4.53% 58 Hold
KBR 10/27/2011 -2.93% 58 Hold
VG 10/27/2011 -27.09% 58 Hold
WHR 11/30/2011 5.42% 24 Hold
TTM 11/30/2011 1.48% 24 Buy

S&P Annualized -10.48%
Mousetrap Annualized 7.42%
Hedged Annualized -4.04%
Secular Annualized 4.07%

Dow theory just gave a market buy signal. Money flow in bullish sectors is better than money flow in bearish sectors.

Welcome to that bear market rally we’ve been talking about – finally breaking through the 200 day moving average and convincing everyone that the bear is cancelled.

A chicken in every pot!

Armageddon? Nah! Peace on earth; goodwill toward men!

For now…

Nothing new to add. This is the rally in the final quarter of 2011 we’ve been talking about for three months now, and we’re still looking for a decline in the first quarter of 2012. Not much to do right now but enjoy a bear market holiday.

TTM (in the auto industry) is the current listed “Buy”.

Tim