• Comments for January 10, 2023

    Yesterday, the S&P500 started well but finished at the LOD and below the 50MA. This is rather negative in terms of momentum.



    On the other hand, the 10Ys continue to weaken, which is equities positive and hence, the Yield Valuation analysis tells us that the markets have room to push to $4100.





    Both the cumulative Tick and the NHNL indicator tell us that lower rates are beneficial to small caps.





    Lower rates are pushing the US$ down and helping Gold/Copper, but also defensive sectors such as XLU/XLRE.











    For growth stocks, the story doesn't seem to be as bullish: the NQ8 has just issued a buy signal, but most sectors show that money is following prices higher almost reluctantly. I believe that investors are waiting for earnings to come out before committing more money to risk assets.



    Conclusions:

    Even though yesterday's action on the S&P500 was not that positive, since the 10Y rates continue to weaken, the markets will probably more higher, especially the small caps and defensive sectors.