• Comments for November 22, 2022

    As can be seen below, the $SPX seems to be in a small trading range within the uptrend of a bounce.
    The closest resistance level is the 200MA.



    The Yield analysis tends to support the non-directional move here as the price is now back rather close to its overvaluation level. This would be reached if the price falls back down to $3880 or if the 10Y rate pulls back to 3.7%





    On the bullish side of the story, we can see that the Futures show accumulation.



    The Cumulative Tick however tells us that in reality investors are in a wait-and-see situation.



    The largest caps still seem to be in general attracting more money than the smaller section of the S&P500, but



    I believe that this is due to the fact that XLK - which hosts many large caps - has experienced a short squeeze.



    XLI/XLF for example display rather negative money flow patterns, while





    growth sectors such as ARKK/IPO did not experience a follow-through after the initial shorts covering push.





    Conclusions:

    Market is non-directional here and we should not expect announcements in the coming days as Thanksgiving will put a lid on activities.

    Have a great holidays!!
    I'll be back next week.