• Comments for October 28, 2022

    The story of the past days is linked to the 10Y rates pullback toward 3.9%, which was enough to help the equities bouncing back to their 50MA. This was higher than the $3800 max bounce that I had been expecting.





    Now, based on the yields comparison, the $SPX is still overvalued and should clearly move below the $3700 overvaluation level.



    Furthermore, with the drop of the largest caps in the past few days and also overnight, the $NDX could pull the whole market down.







    Growth sectors such as IPO/ARKK and tech in general have struggled to even bounce from their lows. This is negative for growth stocks.







    Conclusions:

    There is still basically no upside for equities here.
    Maybe a relief rally next week after the Fed announces that it will slow down its rates hikes?