• Comments for January 26, 2018

    Markets were again uncertain yesterday, especially with all the talks about the US$ and their implications on projected inflation/Fed rates.

    As of now, the US$ still looks weak against all other currencies, but so oversold that a technical bonce is to be expected... not only a bounce due to some political talks.



    Gold weakened yesterday but did not regain its strength of previous days. I would not buy gold of gold miners here.



    The 10Y Treasuries display a positive divergence, indicating that investors expect a bounce from very oversold levels.



    Defensive sectors are also displaying a positive Money Flow, which indicates a rotation back into these sectors.



    But VNQ is really still negative



    Conclusions:

    We should expect a reversal into the safer (and cheap Treasuries/defensive sectors). Not sure at all that gold/gold miners will profit from that move. It all depends on a possible US$ oversold bounce.