• Comments for January 19, 2018

    The real issue about the equities market is still about The 10 Years rates, which continue moving higher.



    This continues to hurt the defensive sectors,



    while money continues rotating from Treasuries to the largest caps.





    Higher rates are also a negative for commodities linked sectors.







    My concern was mainly about the Euro/US$ exchange rates, which have bounced in past weeks on expectations that the ECB will soon push rates higher - while the Fed is doing it now.

    I had point to some small US$ buying activity yesterday, but this activity disappeared and the US$ seems to be weakening again.





    The small caps continue to show a weak Money Flow pattern, which follows the Cumulative Ticks weakening trend.





    On a side story, there was some small buying in FB yesterday. FB is basically the only of the NQ8 stocks that is buyable here on a pullback.



    Conclusions:

    Weak Treasuries continue to push money into the large caps. Not sure what would trigger a reversal of that move. Maybe a Treasuries auction failure, but the latest auctions were well oversubscribed.

    Still wait and see here.