• Comments for August 22, 2017

    Nothing much happened yesterday, as the investment community is waiting for the subliminal messages to be issued by central banks at Jackson Hole.

    The 20DMF is now closer to its Oversold level. No buy signal was issued yesterday when the 20DMF crossed above -0.75% level, because it first had to reach the -1% level.



    The Cumulative Tick was basically flat.



    NQ8 stocks displayed a small MF divergence, mainly due to AAPL. This has no predictive value for now.



    Small caps barely moved.



    This left the IWM/SPY ratio well in the lower section of its envelope.



    The energy sector (XLE) continued displaying a positive divergence, but oil pushed down below its average TEV pink level. Hence, the narrative that energy companies would bounce because of oil prices and a reverting market is now questionable.

    The only thing that will push XLE higher is a general market on an unexpected Jackson hole announcement.





    Conclusions:

    Wait and see. I still expect more negativity in the NQ8 before a tentative bounce.