• Comments for August 16, 2017

    Yesterday was slightly more negative than the previous day as noted by the Cumulative Tick. However, the strongest characteristic of the past few days is the strong negative Money Flow during the last 10/20 minutes of trading. I believe that this points to ETFs that need to sell their positions at the close.



    This occurs on the SPY and the QQQ Money Flows.



    Note that the SPY and QQQ EV pattern still look rather weak here.



    Most sectors displayed a negative Money Flow yesterday.



    I noticed a few energy sectors showing a positive Thrust. However when digging deeper, the stocks that attracted the most were mostly very poor stocks that fell by 50%, that have short ratio higher than 20% and high debt/assets levels. In other words: the signature of shorts covering.



    This tells me that we might be close to a broader shorts covering move in the energy sector.

    However neither Oil nor the XLE_MF show that a bounce is at play yet.





    Most of the big oil related companies still show very negative EV patterns here:





    However, we need to keep an eye on the energy sector that is now widely oversold.

    Conclusions:

    ETFs are selling stocks in an orderly fashion that has little impact on the general market.
    As a matter of fact, neither geopolitical tensions nor internal white house issues had much influence on US equities markets.

    The IWM/SPY ratio is back to the bottom of its envelope, a place where bounces occur.



    The Russell Futures still look rather negative though.