• Portfolio Management for May 19, 2015

    Yesterday, I opened a short XLE position, as oil continued to show signs of weakness, together with the XLE MF.





    You can see that the risk of these three positions in the portfolio is rather low at 0.19%, even if the max drawdown is much higher (although GDX and Oil are supposed to move in opposite directions as a function of the US$.)



    The trade ideas for today are below.

    The GCO Short idea has been posted here:

    http://www.effectivevolume.com/showt...8506-Short-GCO

    The ADM Long ideas has been posted here:

    http://www.effectivevolume.com/showt...p?8507-Buy-ADM



    Below is a new short idea: COH, on a breakdown below support, but on strong volume.
    COH (Apparel) is in a long-term downtrend and about to collapse.







    The Supply Analysis tells us that it is close to the Lower Boundary, and that a fall below will be fatal.







    The ideal holding period is 6 days, but if it fails, holding for a longer period could work well.